But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. This week, the course will play 300 yards longer, and its fairways much wider. Can he repeat his success at the tour's next major, the 2022 PGA Championship? The PGA Championship produced a first-time major winner five times since 2013. For a guy who has popped up routinely throughout his career, it speaks to the quality of play from Harold Varner III to say that hes been playing perhaps the best golf of his career. Both check all of the boxes that we are looking for on the Southern Hills Country Club course. PGA Championship dark horse picks: 5 sleepers who could win at Southern HIlls Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM. He is a seasoned veteran who has four top-five finishes in majors, including the playoff loss to Zach Johnson at the 2015 Open at The Old Course. He ranks second on the tour in SG:OTT and ninth in one-putt percentage. Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship. This course may remind Leishman a bit of some of his favorite courses back home in Australia, as it will feature firm fairways, slopey greens, heavy winds, lots of bunkers and shaved runoffs all around the greens. You can go out and hit 18 greens and two-putt each one and shoot 70 and be disappointed because you feel like you shouldve shot 64.. Day has flashed signs of his younger self throughout this season. (!!) Mandatory Credit: Alex Gould - The Republic . Tiger Woods is making his second-straight major start after his triumphant return last month at Augusta National. Im not sure hes ready to get the job done on a major stage, but Robert MacIntyre is one of golfs up-and-comers who has been playing well of late. Champ: We have cattle, we have horses. He goes as his putter goes, but his irons and approach game will keep him in contention here. These are decent odds for the best player in the world without a major, a mantle he wont have for long. Over the past 12 months, he ranks third in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. Were about to have a little bit more. His putter, considered a liability in the wake of the anchoring ban, is now a weapon. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. 21+ only. In a Lone Star showdown, Spieth takes home the Wanamaker to complete the grand slam. Yang stunned the world with his come-from-behind victory over Tiger Woods at Hazeltine National in 2009, and he is not alone when it comes to those who have emerged from obscurity. https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt. He was originally co-favored to win the event along withScottie Scheffler (+1200)andJustin Thomas (+1200), but Rahm has emerged as the favorite this year. Noren rounded out his AT&T Byron Nelson effort with an 8-under 64 and quietly added to what has been a fantastic season. These five players jump out as possible dark-horse candidates to make waves in Tulsa this weekend. I know DJ withdrew from the AT&T Byron Nelson last Monday and hasn't been sharp recently, but I can't resist betting him at these odds, especially in his home state. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. 2021 PGA Championship Overview 2. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy are among the top golfers expected to have success at Southern Hills CC, but here are three sleepers who could be making even louder noises there. That kind of weapon can make or break a players week at a major championship. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +2,000. Many notable contenders are in peak form right now and leading the charge in the PGA standings. ET. You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at nick.piastowski@golf.com. After missing the weekend at the Honda, he went on a run of five straight T-22 or better finishes in stroke-play events (including at T-14 at Augusta). The PGA Tour stays in Florida this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando. Jon Rahm (+1100) is currently the favoriteto win the PGA Championship, according to odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. And this is no knock against him. Particularly when it comes to a major championship, the favorites to win always get the biggest look. Aside from digging into the data at the RickRunGood.com database and a couple of other models, I try to look for guys that have had past success at the particular course, value plays, and players that are trending in the right direction coming into an event. SeeTipico.comfor Terms and Conditions. That changes this week with the arrival of the seasons second major championship: the 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills Country Club. Previewing the 2023 Puerto Rico Open with our top picks based on the best PGA Tour odds. Furthermore, hes been a consistent gainer with his around-the-green play, even if hes not elite in that area. This. He went T-2 at the Wells Fargo and T-3 at the RBC Heritage in his last two starts. Crazy talent. PGA: Thursday tee times | Best bets | ESPN+ streaming. The biggest reason I am sprinkling on Fleetwood this week is his success on coastal- and links-style courses. Four top fives this season, two of which have come in his past two starts. In 10 career starts at majors, Homa has yet to finish in the top 10. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. 1 golfer in the world, will have to face off against the rest of the world's top-10 golfers, a group that is highlighted by Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas. There are a few solid, mid-tier values on this week's card. The former PGA champ is 12th on tour in SG: Tee to Green, and in the midst of an impressive T8, T4, T2 run. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. And that same group is sharing its 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings and cheat sheets over at SportsLine, helping you find Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts long before your competition. Golfers should expect tough conditions and high winds this week. Bradley arrives at Southern Hills with four top-10 finishes in his last six starts, including a solo fifth in the strongest field of the year at the Players Championship. We got it all, chickens, goats, you name it. Sleeper pick: Cameron Young, +8,000. Yang, +100,000. your golf bets? He ranks top-20 in SG:APR, one-putt percentage and scrambling from the rough, so he should be a safe bet to remain in contention this week. He is in good form as he has finished 41st or better in 10 of his last 11 starts. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. Like I said, its my little escape from all this., Sounds lovely. Yeah, youll get a lot of the favorites because those are name bets of course, folks are going to pick the Rorys and the Tigers because thats whom they know. Which one is the best for you? TIL Y.E. His statistical profile is awfully similar to that of Bradley, and most forget he shared the 54-hole lead with Louis Oosthuizen and Mackenzie Hughes in last year's U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. Lastly, the RickRunGood Tournament Predictor also loves him at these odds and has him listed as the No. He ranks top 40 in this field in approach, around the green, putting, sand saves, bogey avoidance and three-putt avoidance. Hes appeared at this event each year since 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 finishes over that stretch. Over the last 20 rounds, Varner is seventh in this field in Strokes Gained: Approach. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. Historically strong with the putter in hand, Young has run into a speed bump on the greens the last month, but if that club comes around in Tulsa, Young should find his name on the first page of the leaderboard. Try these Birdie Juice-flavored tee picks, Quench your thirst on or off the course with this spiked beverage, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill, 1 parlay we love and picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Shriners Children's Open picks: 4 bets we love this week in Las Vegas, Sanderson Farms Championship picks: 4 bets we love this week in Mississippi, Sanderson Farms Championship odds: Presidents Cuppers among betting favorites this week, Need help computing (and paying!) Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Rose finished T12 the last time the PGA Championship was contested at Southern Hills, in 2007. As an added bonus, the Swede played his college golf an hour west in Stillwater for Oklahoma State University, so he should be more than comfortable in this region of the country. But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. Sleeper pick: Ill give you two! With 97 of the world's top 100 players at the PGA Championship, there's value to be had on the odds board. Now just three months from his 32nd birthday, the native of Seoul, South Korea, is making his PGA Championship debut as the fifth-best golfer from his homeland (at 115th in the Official World. 2022 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report. In his role, he is responsible for editing, writing and developing stories across the golf space. His whole situation does beg the question: Will we ever see Lefty on the PGA Tour again? Defending champion Phil Mickelson isnt playing this week. No promotions available. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. If any of them are in the running come Sunday, I will live bet and hedge for a little pizza money to make sure I come out on top. Tommy Fleetwood plays from the 13th tee during the first round of the Zurich Classic of New Orleans golf tournament. If Southern Hills is going to be a tee to green fest, Henley has to be considered. That will make strokes gained off the tee (SG:OTT) one of the most important metrics for evaluating this field. Golfers should expect tough conditions and high winds this week. Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple . Henley ranks fifth in the field in approach and 20th around the green. (And if youre looking to place any of these bets yourself, we teamed with BetMGM, and the online sports book is offering a new promotion: Make a risk-free bet up to $1,000. I dont necessarily love Homa at +5000 (FanDuels current offering) or +6600 (BetMGM), but all the way at +8000, hes worthy of a look. Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my PGA DFS Pivots for DraftKings! He's also shown that he can play with the big boys and has three other top-25 finishes in 2021, including finishing 18th at The Masters. Some sleepers heading into the 2022 PGA at Southern Hills, Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. Jon Rahm was sort of MIA early in 2022, but a win in his latest start is encouraging. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM Phoenix Open. Did you know RotoBaller has aPremium DFS PGA subscription? The No. (Photo: Nick Wass/Associated Press). Scheffler not only had an impressive practice round at Southern Hills recently, he also says its one of his favorite courses. Why not now? Dont let a MC at the Byron Nelson (or the Masters) fool you. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. Sleeper pick: Matthew Wolff +12,500. The Horse 5. The Big Rig has not been playing stellar golf lately, missing every cut since the Masters, but hes shown an ability to grind out scores on difficult courses. With all of this in mind, this week I'm targeting guys with good "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee,""Driving Distance,""Strokes Gained: Approach," and "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green" metrics. Rory McIlroy 8. In his two starts at major championships, Higgs has finished in the top 15. Still, if Fitzpatrick can get hot with the putter and if Berger can get a bit more distance in the Oklahoma heat, both could make a run at the top spot on the leaderboard. Y.E. (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images). No, he is not a tout. Lines: View all 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational lines. No, hes not hurt. Our panel of gambling experts,. Hes trending: Over his past three events, he tied for 10th at the Masters, tied for sixth at the Mexico Open, and tied for 38th at last weeks Byron Nelson. The 24-year-old has never finished better than 12th in a major and his best finish at the PGA Championship was a T-30 in 2021. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. You might also remember that he was in contention in the U.S. Open last year at Torrey Pines. He's used to these types of courses and conditions, so if the wind causes havoc this weekend, he might be able to make the leap. MacIntyre is a great ball striker who plays well in the wind. In order to score well at Southern Hills,. Any of the top golfers in the field could win this year's major. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. His driver is a skill that will translate. Cameron Young plays his shot on the 12th hole during the first round of the RBC Heritage at Harbor Town Golf Links on April 14, 2022, in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. Gooch has the game to contend this week and certainly offers value at a number this high. All Rights Reserved. Since 2019, the PGA Championship has taken place in May, instead of its former spot as the fourth and final major played in August. Homas form entering the week speaks for itself: He won the last time he teed it up. readfullarticle Source: CBS Hes long enough, accurate enough and consistent enough. Think like a pro, bet like a pro, win like a pro. Early Redraft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football) James Cook (RB - BUF) The rookie running back, known for his pass-catching, produced some hype last offseason after landing in an . As for Thomas, he has had six top-10 finishes in competitions since January. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. As such, it will be important to trust some of the bigger hitters in the field, especially considering that the two Par-5 holes are both 630 yards or longer. At least that's how I see it playing out. Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. For all intents and purposes, Smiths the second-hottest player in the world, and hes getting the seventh-best odds in the field. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at Enter the Tours longest hitter (323.5 yds/drive). He ranks top 30 in this field in approach, putting, bogey avoidance, three-putt avoidance, and sand saves. Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks fifth in strokes gained approach. He will in all likelihood lose strokes putting at Bay Hill this week as well. If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring,Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000)each have the potential to outperform expectations. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. In order to score well at Southern Hills,. Sleeper Picks: PGA Championship PGA TOUR STANDINGS FedExCup Standings 1 S. Power 749 2 K. Bradley 638 3 M. Hughes 614 4 T. Kim 601 5 B. Harman 594 SLEEPER PICKS Sleeper Picks: PGA. Still, Hovland is plenty good enough in that category he ranks 28th to have a quality outing in this major. That means it's time to pick your optimal DraftKings fantasy golf lineup for the season's. He has five titles to his name, one more than Tiger Woods' four. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. PGA Championship 2021: Odds for Sleepers and Favorites at Kiawah Island Joe Tansey May 17, 2021 Jacob Kupferman/Associated Press Five first-time men's golf major winners have been crowned in. After a T13 at THE PLAYERS this year, his best finish in that event, he seems poised to make the next logical leap. So, why no love for Homa from the bookmakers? Sleeper pick: Robert MacIntyre, +15,000. Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod Ive been telling yall it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! The first major on the 2022 PGA Tour was won by Scottie Scheffler. PGA Championship sleepers One sleeper McClure is targeting this week at Southern Hills is Cameron Young, who is a massive 80-1 long shot at Caesars. The best players in the world, aside from Bryson DeChambeau who. However, since then, his best finish is a T-37 in 2020, so he will be looking for a bounce-back performance this year. Shane Lowry (+2800)is fresh off a top-three finish at the 2022 Masters and looks poised to do well on this course. You can bet all of them as winners, but some fit better into betting cards as top-10 finishers, sleepers or DFS value picks. And when hes not writing about ways to hit the golf ball farther and straighter, the Milwaukee native is probably playing the game, hitting the ball left, right and short, and drinking a cold beer to wash away his score. Scheffler is playing the best golf of his career and earned his first major win at the Masters in April. Among the top qualifiers for the Championship are Scottie Sheffler, Will Zalatoris, and Cameron Smith.
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